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Svenska Cupen

Referee: V Wolf

Hammarby

U U U T S

1–1

Full-time

Mjallby

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Mjallby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 21. · Mjallby 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	4	4	0	0	+14	12
2	Malmo FF	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Brommapojkarna	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Halmstad	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	AIK	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Oster	4	3	0	1	+7	9
7	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
8	Varnamo	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Goteborg	4	3	0	1	+1	9
10	Orebro SK	4	3	0	1	+1	9
11	Degerfors	4	2	2	0	+8	8
12	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+10	7
13	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+8	7
14	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+4	7
15	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
16	GAIS	4	2	1	1	+2	7
17	Varberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
18	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
19	Trelleborg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
20	Skövde AIK	4	2	0	2	+3	6
21	Hammarby	3	2	0	1	+3	6
22	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
23	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	+1	6
24	United Nordic	5	2	0	3	-1	6
25	Ostersunds FK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
26	Orgryte	4	2	0	2	-5	6
27	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	IFK Luleå	5	1	1	3	-16	4
29	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
30	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
31	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
32	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Helsingborg	4	1	0	3	+0	3
40	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	IK brage	3	0	3	0	+0	3
45	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-1	3
47	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Gefle IF	4	1	0	3	-3	3
56	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
60	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	AIK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Kalmar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Halmstad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
13	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
14	Oster	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Ostersunds FK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	United Nordic	3	1	0	2	-3	3
36	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
37	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
38	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
42	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
43	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Varberg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Varnamo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+6	4
11	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
12	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	AIK	2	1	1	0	+3	4
14	Trelleborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
17	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
18	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
19	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
25	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	United Nordic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
32	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	+0	3
40	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-1	3
42	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-2	3
44	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
45	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-6	3
46	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	IFK Luleå	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.