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Svenska Cupen

Referee: A Aganovic

Hammarby

U U U U T

3–1

Full-time

Sundsvall

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Sundsvall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 37. · Sundsvall 35. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Djurgarden	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	AIK	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Varnamo	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+10	7
8	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+8	7
9	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+8	7
10	Halmstad	3	2	1	0	+5	7
11	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Elfsborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	United Nordic	4	2	0	2	+0	6
19	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Orgryte	3	2	0	1	-2	6
21	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Trelleborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
24	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
25	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
26	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
27	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
30	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
35	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	IK brage	3	0	3	0	+0	3
45	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
52	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
60	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Halmstad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
7	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
8	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	United Nordic	3	1	0	2	-3	3
29	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
30	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
35	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
36	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
68	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Varberg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Varnamo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+6	4
9	Trelleborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
12	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
14	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
25	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
44	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
46	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.