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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Melo
Famalicao
T T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Boavista
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
61%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,89 xG 0,39
50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Famalicao 11. · Boavista 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 23 19 2 2 +42 +29.7 59
2 Benfica 24 18 4 2 +36 +27.8 58
3 Porto 24 16 4 4 +26 +19.9 52
4 Sp Braga 24 15 4 5 +20 +16.9 49
5 Guimaraes 24 13 5 6 +12 +5.4 44
6 Moreirense 24 11 6 7 +1 +0.4 39
7 Arouca 24 10 4 10 +10 +0.9 34
8 Gil Vicente 24 7 6 11 -3 -8.7 27
9 Casa Pia 24 7 6 11 -13 -7.6 27
10 Farense 24 7 5 12 -3 -9.6 26
11 Famalicao 22 6 8 8 -5 -6.8 26
12 Boavista 23 6 6 11 -14 -10.4 24
13 Rio Ave 24 4 11 9 -9 +1.5 23
14 Portimonense 24 6 5 13 -25 -16.2 23
15 Estoril 24 6 4 14 -6 -9.2 22
16 Estrela 24 5 7 12 -15 -10.4 22
17 Vizela 24 3 9 12 -24 -9.2 18
18 Chaves 24 4 6 14 -30 -14.5 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Boavista
1–0 F. Danho
16′
30′
🟨 Sebastián Pérez
Mirko Topić 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Salvador Agra
65′
ℹ️ Florian Danho
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
Salvador Agra 1–1
Bruno Lourenço
Óscar Aranda 🔁
↦ Gustavo Sá
72′
73′
🔁 I. Camará
↦ I. Vukotić
73′
🔁 Luís dos Santos
↦ B. Onyemaechi
73′
🔁 Miguel Reisinho
↦ Bruno Lourenço
Théo Fonseca 🔁
↦ F. Danho
80′
T. Lacoux 🔁
↦ Gustavo Assunção
80′
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ Nathan
80′
Justin De Haas 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 Filipe Ferreira
↦ Salvador Agra
Henrique Araújo 🔁
↦ Sorriso
84′
97′
🔁 Martim Tavares
↦ Luís dos Santos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Famalicao

3-4-2-1
31 Luíz Júnior G
4 E. Mihaj D
15 Riccieli D
16 J. de Haas D
22 Nathan M
8 M. Topić M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
74 Francisco Moura M
77 Sorriso F
20 Gustavo Sá F
21 F. Danho F
Bench (9)
11 Óscar Aranda
95 Théo Fonseca
6 T. Lacoux
10 Chiquinho
9 Henrique Araújo
80 João Neto
1 I. Zlobin
32 Martín Aguirregabiria
18 O. Liimatta

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Boavista

3-4-2-1
99 João Gonçalves G
5 C. Awaziem D
23 V. Sasso D
26 R. Abascal D
79 Pedro Malheiro M
24 S. Pérez M
18 I. Vukotić M
70 B. Onyemaechi M
8 Bruno Lourenço F
7 Salvador Agra F
9 R. Boženík F
Bench (9)
6 I. Camará
11 Luís dos Santos
10 Miguel Reisinho
20 Filipe Ferreira
59 Martim Tavares
76 Tomé Sousa
16 Joel Silva
42 G. Makouta
13 Masa

Coach: Ricardo Paiva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U ✓
3,46
B
3,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fábio Melo · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.