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Copa del Rey
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
0–3
Full-time
Granada
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
48 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
49 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
50 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
51 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
65 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arosa Granada
19′
José Callejón 0–1
Gonzalo Villar
44′
🟨 G. Villar
Half-time 0–1
Antón Concheiro 🔁
↦ Brais Pedreira
59′
59′
🔁 Gerard Gumbau
↦ Gonzalo Villar
Rubo Blanco 🔁
↦ A. Sylla
73′
Marcos Mella 🔁
↦ I. Martínez
73′
Martín Diz 🔁
↦ Borjita
74′
75′
🔁 Sergio Ruiz
↦ Alberto Perea
75′
🔁 Ignasi Miquel
↦ Miki Bosch
Javier Pereira 🔁
↦ Santi Figueroa
86′
88′
S. Weissman 0–2
Sergio Ruiz
90′
F. Diédhiou 0–3
Wilson Manafá
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Arosa

13 Raul Rodriguez
3 Cotilla
4 Pacheco
2 Santi Figueroa
5 Martin Sanchez
12 I. Carús
6 Diego Enjamio
14 Brais Pedreira
10 I. Martínez
9 A. Sylla
7 Borjita
Bench (7)
8 Antón Concheiro
11 Rubo Blanco
22 Marcos Mella
20 Martín Diz
17 Javier Pereira
1 Manu Táboas
23 Daniel Sánchez

Coach: Luisito

Granada

31 Adri López
16 Víctor Díaz
3 Wilson Manafá
32 Miki Bosch
33 Álvaro Carreras
24 Gonzalo Villar
18 N. Petrović
9 José Callejón
22 Alberto Perea
19 F. Diédhiou
17 S. Weissman
Bench (11)
23 Gerard Gumbau
20 Sergio Ruiz
14 Ignasi Miquel
10 Antonio Puertas
15 Carlos Neva
7 L. Boyé
13 André Ferreira
28 Raúl Torrente
12 Ricard Sánchez
26 Bryan Zaragoza
35 Pol Tristán

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.