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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Badstubner
Preußen Münster
T T U U T
1–2
Full-time
Karlsruhe
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Jan -26 Preußen Münster – Karlsruhe 0–2 2. Aug -25 Karlsruhe – Preußen Münster 3–2 13. Apr -25 Preußen Münster – Karlsruhe 1–1 10. Nov -24 Karlsruhe – Preußen Münster 1–1

Match report

Preußen Münster Karlsruhe
1–0 M. Ndikom ⚽
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Ben Farhat
↦ N. Eichinger
L. Tasov 🔁
↦ L. Kolbe
63′
S. Althaus 🔁
↦ W. Adeh
63′
69′
⚽ M. Wanitzek 1–1
D. Ofli
74′
🔁 T. Civeja
↦ K. Wiethaup
T. Paetow 🔁
↦ L. Zeller
79′
81′
⚽ S. Jung 1–2
M. Broschinski
N. Varelmann 🔁
↦ M. Ndikom
85′
M. Demirhan 🔁
↦ R. Johansson
85′
86′
🔁 S. Vaananen
↦ D. H. Zor
90′
🟨 Tim Civeja
90′
🔁 S. Fukuda
↦ R. Pinto Pedrosa
Samuel Althaus 🟥
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

1 M. Behrens G
5 L. Zeller D
24 N. Koulis D
4 A. Tikvic D
2 L. Kolbe M
6 W. Adeh M
21 R. Preissinger M
14 C. Makridis M
28 M. Ndikom F
20 R. Johansson F
33 F. Higl F
Bench (9)
38 M. Harsmann
16 T. Paetow
29 L. Tasov
36 N. Varelmann
27 J. Korte
44 S. Althaus
17 M. Stuhlmacher
30 M. Schulz
19 M. Demirhan

Coach: Thomas Worle

Karlsruhe

1 C. Bernat G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
22 C. Kobald D
3 D. Ofli D
7 K. Wiethaup M
26 D. H. Zor M
36 R. Pinto Pedrosa M
10 M. Wanitzek M
11 N. Eichinger M
9 M. Broschinski F
Bench (9)
30 R. Himmelmann
33 V. Bergh
15 P. Scholl
6 S. Vaananen
23 T. Civeja
19 L. Ben Farhat
13 S. Fukuda
37 J. Ponente-Ramirez
27 J. D. Meyer

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Badstubner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.