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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenović
Stuttgart
T S S S U
0–2
Full-time
Atalanta
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,92 xG 1,98
55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stuttgart Atalanta
13′
🔁 O. Kossounou
↦ S. Kolašinac
Anrie Chase 🟨
41′
44′
🟨 Isak Hien
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. De Ketelaere
↦ M. Pašalić
51′
⚽ A. Lookman 0–1
C. De Ketelaere
55′
🟨 Éderson
E. Demirović 🔁
↦ D. Undav
56′
Ermedin Demirović 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ M. Retegui
J. Chabot 🔁
↦ C. Führich
74′
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ A. Karazor
74′
79′
🟨 Raoul Bellanova
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ A. Chase
81′
J. Malanga 🔁
↦ E. Touré
81′
85′
🔁 M. Ruggeri
↦ R. Bellanova
85′
🔁 M. Brescianini
↦ A. Lookman
88′
⚽ N. Zaniolo 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nübel G
4 J. Vagnoman D
45 A. Chase D
29 A. Rouault D
7 M. Mittelstädt D
6 A. Stiller M
16 A. Karazor M
8 E. Millot M
26 D. Undav M
27 C. Führich M
10 E. Touré F
Bench (11)
9 E. Demirović
24 J. Chabot
32 F. Rieder
15 P. Stenzel
47 J. Malanga
2 A. Al Dakhil
1 F. Bredlow
20 L. Stergiou
41 D. Seimen
5 Y. Keitel
13 F. Krätzig

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
29 M. Carnesecchi G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
16 R. Bellanova M
15 M. de Roon M
13 Éderson M
77 D. Zappacosta M
8 M. Pašalić F
11 A. Lookman F
32 M. Retegui F
Bench (12)
3 O. Kossounou
17 C. De Ketelaere
10 N. Zaniolo
22 M. Ruggeri
44 M. Brescianini
27 M. Palestra
2 R. Tolói
31 F. Rossi
5 B. Godfrey
7 J. Cuadrado
28 Rui Patrício
24 L. Samardžić

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.