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Premier League
Referee: R Jones
Man United
T T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Fulham
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,43 xG 0,44
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man United Fulham
Mason Mount 🟨
18′
25′
🟨 Calvin Bassey
Harry Maguire 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
A. Garnacho 🔁
↦ A. Diallo
61′
J. Zirkzee 🔁
↦ M. Mount
61′
64′
🔁 T. Cairney
↦ E. Smith Rowe
70′
🟨 Andreas Pereira
73′
🟨 Tom Cairney
78′
🔁 R. Jiménez
↦ Rodrigo Muniz
78′
🔁 H. Wilson
↦ Adama Traoré
M. de Ligt 🔁
↦ N. Mazraoui
81′
J. Evans 🔁
↦ H. Maguire
81′
S. McTominay 🔁
↦ K. Mainoo
84′
1–0 J. Zirkzee
A. Garnacho
87′
91′
🔁 J. Stansfield
↦ S. Lukić
91′
🔁 H. Reed
↦ Andreas Pereira
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
5 H. Maguire D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
20 Diogo Dalot D
18 Casemiro M
37 K. Mainoo M
16 A. Diallo M
7 M. Mount M
10 M. Rashford M
8 Bruno Fernandes F
Bench (9)
17 A. Garnacho
11 J. Zirkzee
4 M. de Ligt
35 J. Evans
39 S. McTominay
14 C. Eriksen
43 T. Collyer
21 Antony
1 A. Bayındır

Coach: E. ten Hag

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
2 K. Tete D
31 I. Diop D
3 C. Bassey D
33 A. Robinson D
18 Andreas Pereira M
20 S. Lukić M
11 Adama Traoré M
32 E. Smith Rowe M
17 A. Iwobi M
9 Rodrigo Muniz F
Bench (9)
10 T. Cairney
7 R. Jiménez
8 H. Wilson
28 J. Stansfield
6 H. Reed
23 S. Benda
15 Jorge Cuenca
21 T. Castagne
24 J. King

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
4,36
B
5,15
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.