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League Cup

Referee: P Howard

Cambridge United

T S U T S

0–1

Full-time

Millwall

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambridge United Millwall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,64 xG 2,04

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cambridge United 20. · Millwall 37. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
46	Doncaster	2	0	1	1	-2	1
47	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
25	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.