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League Cup

Referee: O Langford

Chelsea

S T U S S

5–0

Full-time

Barrow

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Barrow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

71% Possession 29%

20 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Preston	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Fleetwood Town	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Blackpool	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Wycombe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Leyton Orient	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Coventry	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
14	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Bolton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
22	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	-6	4
23	Man United	1	1	0	0	+7	3
24	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Oxford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Tranmere	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-3	3
43	Harrogate Town	2	1	0	1	-4	3
44	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
55	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
56	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
57	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Preston	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Man United	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	QPR	2	0	1	1	-1	1
34	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
36	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
37	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Wycombe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Preston	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Leyton Orient	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Fleetwood Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Barnsley	2	0	1	1	-7	1
33	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.