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NM-cupen

Hønefoss

T S T T S

2–3

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hønefoss Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,7

3,0

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,3

This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

3,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hønefoss 19. · Lillestrom 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mjondalen	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Eik-Tønsberg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Bjarg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Brattvåg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Strommen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
34	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bjarg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Hønefoss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Brattvåg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
35	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
36	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mjondalen	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.