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LaLiga2
Burgos
T U U S S
Eldense
U T U S T
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The model's reading of the match in plain language: expected goals, favourite probability and what the form says.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table now Burgos 5. · Eldense 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 +10 +0.4 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.4 15
3 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 +6 +2.5 13
4 Almeria 6 4 0 2 +6 -1.3 12
5 Burgos 6 3 2 1 +3 -0.8 11
6 Sabadell 6 3 2 1 +2 +3.5 11
7 Leganes 6 3 2 1 +1 -2.0 11
8 Girona 6 3 1 2 +4 +0.9 10
9 Sp Gijon 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.0 10
10 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 +0 -1.8 10
11 Tenerife 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.8 10
12 Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 +1 -2.0 8
13 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +1 +3.1 8
14 Granada 6 2 2 2 +0 +0.1 8
15 Celta B 6 2 1 3 -3 -2.2 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 -4 +1.0 6
17 Eldense 6 1 2 3 -4 -1.9 5
18 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.6 5
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 -3 +2.4 3
20 Andorra 6 1 0 5 -4 +4.6 3
21 Albacete 6 0 1 5 -6 +0.4 1
22 Ceuta 6 0 1 5 -13 -5.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Bookmaker odds fetched 7 hours ago — the market may have moved since.

1X2
H
1,86
U
3,45
B
4,29
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,34
U1,5
3,21
O2,5
2,10
U2,5
1,78
O3,5
3,60
U3,5
1,26
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,88
BLS nei
1,85

Referee

Not assigned yet — referee appointments are usually published in the last 24 hours before kick-off, and the referee stats will appear here then.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.