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Championship
Referee: G Scott
Hull
S U U U U
0–2
Full-time
Stoke
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 37/38 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
65%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,70 xG 1,39
62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 7. · Stoke 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 38 26 4 8 +40 +30.7 82
2 Ipswich 38 24 9 5 +31 +23.5 81
3 Leeds 36 23 7 6 +40 +32.0 76
4 West Brom 37 19 10 8 +26 +6.3 67
5 Southampton 34 20 7 7 +23 +26.3 67
6 Norwich 36 18 7 11 +17 +0.6 61
7 Hull 37 16 10 11 +7 +6.7 58
8 Coventry 37 15 12 10 +16 +11.8 57
9 Preston 37 16 8 13 -5 -12.3 56
10 Middlesbrough 38 16 6 16 +1 +12.8 54
11 Cardiff 38 16 5 17 -8 -19.7 53
12 Bristol City 39 14 8 17 -2 -3.5 50
13 Sunderland 38 14 6 18 +3 +5.5 48
14 Watford 38 12 12 14 +2 +1.0 48
15 Swansea 38 12 10 16 -10 -8.6 46
16 Millwall 39 11 11 17 -14 -12.3 44
17 Blackburn 38 11 9 18 -13 -6.7 42
18 Plymouth 38 10 11 17 -8 -16.9 41
19 Stoke 38 11 8 19 -18 -4.4 41
20 QPR 38 10 10 18 -14 -6.7 40
21 Birmingham 38 10 9 19 -17 -8.6 39
22 Huddersfield 38 8 15 15 -19 -10.9 39
23 Sheffield Weds 38 11 5 22 -31 -9.2 38
24 Rotherham 38 3 11 24 -47 -37.3 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Stoke
18′
🟨 Luke McNally
28′
🟨 Michael Rose
33′
🟨 Josh Laurent
Half-time 0–0
A. Ömür 🔁
↦ A. Zaroury
59′
T. Morton 🔁
↦ R. Slater
59′
69′
J. Laurent 0–1
R. Mmaee
O. Tufan 🔁
↦ N. Ohio
71′
B. Sharp 🔁
↦ J. Seri
71′
71′
🔁 Bae Jun-Ho
↦ S. Hakšabanović
71′
🔁 André Vidigal
↦ L. Cundle
74′
🟨 Enda Stevens
A. Connolly 🔁
↦ R. Giles
75′
80′
🔁 L. Baker
↦ M. Léris
80′
🔁 N. Ennis
↦ R. Mmaee
93′
K. Hoever 0–2
Bae Jun-Ho
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hull

4-2-3-1
17 R. Allsop G
2 L. Coyle D
5 A. Jones D
6 S. McLoughlin D
3 R. Giles D
27 R. Slater M
24 J. Seri M
23 J. Philogene M
45 Fábio Carvalho M
47 A. Zaroury M
9 N. Ohio F
Bench (9)
50 A. Ömür
15 T. Morton
7 O. Tufan
12 B. Sharp
44 A. Connolly
10 A. Traoré
33 C. Christie
29 M. Jacob
30 I. Pandur

Coach: L. Rosenior

Stoke

4-4-2
1 D. Iversen G
17 K. Hoever D
23 L. McNally D
5 M. Rose D
3 E. Stevens D
27 M. Léris M
25 L. Cundle M
15 J. Thompson M
20 S. Hakšabanović M
28 J. Laurent F
19 R. Mmaee F
Bench (9)
22 Bae Jun-Ho
7 André Vidigal
8 L. Baker
14 N. Ennis
42 M. Manhoef
12 D. Johnson
16 B. Wilmot
10 T. Campbell
13 J. Bonham

Coach: S. Schumacher

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U
3,59
B ✓
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Scott · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.