Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | +21 | 53 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | +15 | 46 |
| 4 |
Piast Gliwice
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 38 |
| 5 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +6 | 38 |
| 6 |
Warta Poznan
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | +4 | 35 |
| 8 |
Zaglebie
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 |
Lech Poznan
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 |
Cracovia
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | +0 | 28 |
| 14 |
Wisla Plock
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 |
Podbeskidzie
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -28 | 21 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rakow
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Legia
Cracovia
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.