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Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia
U U S T U
3–2
Full-time
LKS Lodz
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia LKS Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 20%
24%
15%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Arka Gdynia 14. · LKS Lodz 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 34 20 5 9 +34 65
2 Lech Poznan 34 15 12 7 +29 57
3 Piast Gliwice 34 17 6 11 +8 57
4 Slask Wroclaw 34 14 11 9 +7 53
5 Cracovia 34 16 4 14 +12 52
6 Lechia Gdansk 34 14 10 10 -2 52
7 Gornik Zabrze 35 13 11 11 +5 50
8 Rakow 35 15 5 15 -5 50
9 Jagiellonia 34 13 10 11 +2 49
10 Wisla Plock 35 13 9 13 -10 48
11 Zaglebie 35 13 8 14 +4 47
12 Pogon Szczecin 34 12 11 11 -4 47
13 Wisla 34 13 5 16 -9 44
14 Arka Gdynia 34 8 10 16 -19 34
15 Korona Kielce 34 8 7 19 -19 31
16 LKS Lodz 34 5 6 23 -33 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.