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Ekstraklasa

Rakow

U T S S S

3–2

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 35%

44%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

59%

41%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 8. · Arka Gdynia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	32	20	4	8	+35	64
2	Lech Poznan	32	14	11	7	+28	53
3	Piast Gliwice	32	16	5	11	+7	53
4	Slask Wroclaw	32	14	10	8	+8	52
5	Lechia Gdansk	32	13	10	9	+0	49
6	Jagiellonia	32	13	9	10	+3	48
7	Gornik Zabrze	32	12	11	9	+4	47
8	Rakow	32	14	5	13	-2	47
9	Cracovia	32	14	4	14	+8	46
10	Pogon Szczecin	32	12	10	10	-3	46
11	Zaglebie	32	11	8	13	+3	41
12	Wisla Plock	32	10	9	13	-14	39
13	Wisla	32	11	5	16	-11	38
14	Arka Gdynia	32	8	9	15	-18	33
15	Korona Kielce	32	8	6	18	-18	30
16	LKS Lodz	32	5	6	21	-30	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	16	12	1	3	+31	37
2	Gornik Zabrze	16	10	5	1	+16	35
3	Slask Wroclaw	16	9	6	1	+10	33
4	Piast Gliwice	16	10	3	3	+10	33
5	Rakow	16	9	3	4	+7	30
6	Cracovia	16	9	2	5	+10	29
7	Lech Poznan	16	8	4	4	+20	28
8	Zaglebie	16	7	6	3	+10	27
9	Wisla	16	8	2	6	+8	26
10	Jagiellonia	16	7	5	4	+7	26
11	Lechia Gdansk	16	7	4	5	+1	25
12	Pogon Szczecin	16	6	4	6	+0	22
13	Wisla Plock	16	6	4	6	-1	22
14	Arka Gdynia	16	5	7	4	-1	22
15	Korona Kielce	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	LKS Lodz	16	4	3	9	-8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	16	8	3	5	+4	27
2	Lech Poznan	16	6	7	3	+8	25
3	Lechia Gdansk	16	6	6	4	-1	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	16	6	6	4	-3	24
5	Jagiellonia	16	6	4	6	-4	22
6	Piast Gliwice	16	6	2	8	-3	20
7	Slask Wroclaw	16	5	4	7	-2	19
8	Cracovia	16	5	2	9	-2	17
9	Rakow	16	5	2	9	-9	17
10	Wisla Plock	16	4	5	7	-13	17
11	Zaglebie	16	4	2	10	-7	14
12	Korona Kielce	16	3	4	9	-13	13
13	Gornik Zabrze	16	2	6	8	-12	12
14	Wisla	16	3	3	10	-19	12
15	Arka Gdynia	16	3	2	11	-17	11
16	LKS Lodz	16	1	3	12	-22	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.