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Allsvenskan

Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Vasteras SK

S S U S T

1–0

Full-time

Djurgarden

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 49%

40%

57%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

60%

64%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,4

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

5 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vasteras SK 9. · Djurgarden 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	15	13	2	0	+25	+10.5	41
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	+21	+13.1	30
3	Djurgarden	14	8	2	4	+18	+5.1	26
4	Hacken	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.7	25
5	AIK	16	7	4	5	-2	-10.1	25
6	Elfsborg	16	6	6	4	+3	-1.1	24
7	GAIS	16	6	5	5	+6	+3.6	23
8	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	+4	+4.2	23
9	Vasteras SK	15	6	4	5	-5	-1.2	22
10	Goteborg	16	5	4	7	-13	+0.6	19
11	Kalmar	16	5	3	8	-3	+2.0	18
12	Mjallby	15	4	5	6	+0	+2.8	17
13	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	-4	-7.6	17
14	Degerfors	16	3	4	9	-13	-8.8	13
15	Orgryte	16	3	4	9	-17	-8.1	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	-22	-11.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+24	+10.0	22
2	Sirius	7	6	1	0	+12	+7.1	19
3	Kalmar	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.9	17
4	GAIS	8	4	3	1	+9	+1.6	15
5	Djurgarden	8	4	1	3	+13	+3.0	13
6	Hacken	8	3	4	1	+1	+4.9	13
7	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
8	Goteborg	8	3	2	3	+0	+4.2	11
9	Malmo FF	8	3	0	5	+4	+4.6	9
10	Vasteras SK	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.6	9
11	AIK	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.4	9
12	Mjallby	7	2	1	4	+0	+3.6	7
13	Orgryte	8	1	4	3	-2	-0.9	7
14	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-2	-5.9	6
15	Degerfors	8	1	2	5	-8	-6.3	5
16	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-11	-5.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	8	7	1	0	+13	+3.4	22
2	AIK	9	4	4	1	+3	-8.7	16
3	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+0	-0.4	14
4	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+5	+2.1	13
5	Vasteras SK	8	4	1	3	-7	-2.8	13
6	Hacken	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.8	12
7	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+1	+0.4	12
8	Brommapojkarna	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
9	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
10	GAIS	8	2	2	4	-3	+2.1	8
11	Hammarby	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
12	Degerfors	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.5	8
13	Goteborg	8	2	2	4	-13	-3.7	8
14	Orgryte	8	2	0	6	-15	-7.2	6
15	Halmstad	7	0	2	5	-11	-5.9	2
16	Kalmar	8	0	1	7	-10	+1.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.