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League Cup

Referee: D Whitestone

Plymouth

S T S U T

2–0

Full-time

Exeter City

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plymouth Exeter City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

4,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

21 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
46	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.