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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
U T S U
4–2
Full-time
Orebro
T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Orebro
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 11. · Orebro 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +3 7
3 Malmo FF 4 2 1 1 +1 7
4 Goteborg 4 2 0 2 +2 6
5 Sirius 4 2 0 2 +1 6
6 Helsingborg 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 Hammarby 4 1 2 1 +1 5
8 AIK 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Norrkoping 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Kalmar 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Elfsborg 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Ostersunds 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 AFC Eskilstuna 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Orebro 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Falkenbergs 4 1 0 3 -4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.