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LaLiga2
Referee: G Cid
Castellon
U S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Cadiz
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 36%
46%
26%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
51%
51%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 6. · Cadiz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 39 23 6 10 +23 -1.2 75
2 Almeria 39 21 8 10 +20 +2.0 71
3 La Coruna 39 20 11 8 +19 +1.2 71
4 Malaga 39 19 9 11 +18 +6.3 66
5 Las Palmas 39 18 12 9 +15 +0.7 66
6 Castellon 39 18 11 10 +17 +6.9 65
7 Eibar 39 18 10 11 +12 +6.6 64
8 Burgos 39 17 12 10 +11 +5.3 63
9 Cordoba 39 17 9 13 -1 +6.7 60
10 Andorra 39 16 10 13 +12 +3.7 58
11 Ceuta 39 15 10 14 -12 -15.4 55
12 Albacete 39 14 11 14 -1 +2.0 53
13 Sp Gijon 39 15 7 17 +1 +1.9 52
14 Granada 39 12 12 15 -2 -1.9 48
15 Valladolid 39 12 10 17 -7 +2.2 46
16 Sociedad B 39 12 9 18 -7 -9.6 45
17 Leganes 39 10 12 17 -6 +3.1 42
18 Cadiz 39 10 9 20 -20 -6.7 39
19 Huesca 39 9 9 21 -21 -0.2 36
20 Mirandes 39 9 9 21 -23 -5.0 36
21 Zaragoza 39 8 11 20 -20 +2.9 35
22 Cultural Leonesa 39 8 9 22 -28 -11.5 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Cadiz
Ousmane Camara 🟨
7′
21′
🟨 Rominigue Kouamé
37′
🔁 B. Kovacevic
↦ I. Recio
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Lucas Pérez
1–0 B. Cipenga
O. Camara
54′
A. Mabil 🔁
↦ A. Jakobsen
57′
Tincho 🔁
↦ L. Alcazar
64′
68′
🔁 A. Pascual
↦ S. Ortuno
68′
🔁 D. Camara
↦ L. Perez
69′
🔁 B. Ocampo
↦ J. de la Rosa
Diego Barri 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 M. Climent
↦ S. Arribas
74′
P. Fernandez 1–1
A. Garcia 🔁
↦ O. Camara
75′
Jeremy Mellot 🟨
76′
I. Suero 🔁
↦ Barri
80′
D. Aurelio 🔁
↦ J. Mellot
80′
M. Doue 🔁
↦ B. Cipenga
80′
87′
🔁 A. Fernandez
↦ Y. Diarra
88′
🟨 David Gil
88′
🟨 Brian Ocampo
97′
🟨 Alvaro Garcia-Pascual
99′
🟨 Dawda Camara
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
3 F. Brignani D
5 A. Jimenez D
12 L. Alcazar D
16 B. Cipenga M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
8 Barri M
19 A. Jakobsen M
21 A. Calatrava F
9 O. Camara F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
7 A. Mabil
10 I. Suero
23 A. Garcia
2 Tincho
25 Ronaldo
17 S. Ruiz
11 D. Aurelio
6 M. Doue
4 A. Sienra
14 R. Sanchez
18 P. Santiago

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Cadiz

4-1-4-1
1 D. Gil G
34 J. Diaz Peregrina D
27 P. Fernandez D
6 I. Recio D
38 S. Arribas D
3 R. Kouame M
19 J. de la Rosa M
18 Y. Diarra M
15 S. Ortuno M
16 A. Cordero M
7 L. Perez F
Bench (12)
26 F. Perez Morillo
30 R. Blanco
8 A. Fernandez
10 B. Ocampo
14 B. Kovacevic
5 M. Diakite
21 M. Climent
23 A. Pascual
29 A. Caicedo
2 J. Moreno
17 D. Camara
37 J. Domina

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,27
U ✓
5,42
B
8,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,45
U2,5 ✓
2,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Cid · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.