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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Ferrol
T S U S U
2–2
Full-time
Villarreal B
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
40%
17%
Points per game
1,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
1,6
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
24 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 5. · Villarreal B 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
3 Zaragoza 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Ferrol 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Levante 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 Burgos 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Andorra 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Eldense 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Amorebieta 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Santander 4 1 2 1 +2 5
13 Albacete 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Mirandes 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Elche 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Alcorcon 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Villarreal B 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Cartagena 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
20 Valladolid 4 1 0 3 -3 3
21 Huesca 5 0 3 2 -4 3
22 Eibar 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Villarreal B
Heber Pena Picos 🟨
22′
23′
🟨 Rodrigo Alonso
31′
Javi Ontiveros 0–1
38′
🟨 Abraham Rando
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Carlos Vicente
52′
60′
Álex Forés 1–2
Carlos Romero
2–2 Iker Losada
Héber Pena
62′
67′
🔁 Lanchi
↦ Rodri Alonso
67′
🔁 Reque
↦ Jorge Pascual
70′
🔁 Espigares
↦ S. Leković
Jesús Bernal 🟨
73′
Fran Manzanara 🔁
↦ Héber Pena
76′
Sergio Cubero 🟨
81′
Álvaro Giménez 🔁
↦ Sabin Merino
84′
David Castro 🔁
↦ Jon García
84′
85′
🔁 Aitor Gelardo
↦ Carlo Adriano
85′
🔁 Víctor Moreno
↦ Adrià Alti
Moi Delgado 🔁
↦ Carlos Vicente
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Ander Cantero G
24 Sergio Cubero D
4 Jon García D
5 Enrique Clemente D
18 Brais Martínez D
23 Carlos Vicente M
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
7 Héber Pena M
22 Iker Losada F
19 Sabin Merino F
Bench (10)
16 Fran Manzanara
20 Álvaro Giménez
15 David Castro
21 Moi Delgado
9 Manu Justo
13 Emilio Bernad
8 Álex López
3 Fernando Pumar
1 G. Gazzaniga
2 Julián Delmás

Coach: Cristóbal

Villarreal B

4-4-2
13 Miguel Ángel Morro G
2 Adrià Alti D
12 S. Leković D
5 Abraham del Moral D
18 Carlos Romero D
21 Rodri Alonso M
6 Alberto del Moral M
8 Carlo Adriano M
10 Javi Ontiveros M
11 Jorge Pascual F
9 Álex Forés F
Bench (11)
16 Lanchi
27 Reque
29 Espigares
14 Aitor Gelardo
23 Víctor Moreno
17 Fabio Blanco
35 Rubén Gómez
15 Marcos Sánchez
24 A. Ferrari
4 Hugo Pérez
22 T. Geralnik

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,25
B
4,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.