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Championship
Referee: D Bond
1–2
Full-time
Brentford
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
0%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
1,4
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 12. · Brentford 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reading 6 5 1 0 +7 16
2 Bristol City 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Bournemouth 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Millwall 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Watford 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Norwich 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Huddersfield 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Middlesbrough 6 2 3 1 +1 9
10 Luton 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Stoke 5 2 2 1 +1 8
12 Sheffield Weds 5 2 2 1 +1 8
13 Blackburn 5 2 1 2 +7 7
14 Brentford 5 2 1 2 +2 7
15 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 +0 7
16 QPR 5 1 3 1 +1 6
17 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Birmingham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
19 Coventry 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Preston 5 1 1 3 -1 4
21 Nott'm Forest 6 1 1 4 -5 4
22 Derby 6 1 0 5 -8 3
23 Barnsley 5 0 2 3 -4 2
24 Wycombe 6 0 0 6 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Brentford
7′
I. Toney 0–1
1–1 C. Paterson
K. Harris
25′
30′
I. Toney 1–2
V. Janelt
Half-time 1–2
J. Pelupessy 🔁
↦ A. Hunt
46′
F. Dele-Bashiru 🔁
↦ J. Windass
51′
55′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ B. Mbeumo
58′
🔁 M. Sørensen
↦ P. Jansson
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ J. Marriott
72′
Moses Odubajo 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 T. Fosu
↦ S. Ghoddos
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-4-1-2
25 C. Dawson G
6 A. Flint D
22 M. Odubajo D
11 A. Reach M
5 C. Paterson F
4 J. van Aken D
10 B. Bannan M
7 K. Harris M
18 J. Windass F
29 A. Hunt M
9 J. Marriott F
Bench (7)
8 J. Pelupessy
17 F. Dele-Bashiru
20 J. Rhodes
13 J. Börner
28 J. Wildsmith
2 L. Palmer
45 E. Kachunga

Coach: G. Monk

Brentford

4-3-3
1 David Raya G
22 H. Dalsgaard D
18 P. Jansson D
3 R. Henry D
5 E. Pinnock D
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
20 S. Ghoddos F
17 I. Toney F
14 J. Dasilva M
19 B. Mbeumo
Bench (7)
7 Sergi Canós
29 M. Sørensen
24 T. Fosu
2 D. Thompson
33 F. Hammar
28 L. Daniels
15 M. Forss

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U
3,37
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.