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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Brescia
U T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Reggiana
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 26%
22%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
46%
Both score Ø 56%
57%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 15. · Reggiana 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 37 25 7 5 +41 82
2 Pisa 37 21 8 8 +24 71
3 Spezia 37 16 15 6 +24 63
4 Cremonese 37 16 13 8 +19 61
5 Juve Stabia 37 14 12 11 +1 54
6 Catanzaro 37 11 19 7 +6 52
7 Palermo 37 14 9 14 +9 51
8 Cesena 37 13 11 13 -2 50
9 Bari 37 10 17 10 +1 47
10 Modena 37 10 15 12 -1 45
11 Sudtirol 37 12 9 16 -7 45
12 Reggiana 37 11 11 15 -9 44
13 Carrarese 37 11 11 15 -10 44
14 Mantova 37 10 13 14 -9 43
15 Brescia 37 8 16 13 -7 40
16 Sampdoria 37 8 16 13 -11 40
17 Frosinone 37 8 16 13 -14 40
18 Cittadella 37 10 10 17 -21 40
19 Salernitana 37 10 9 18 -12 39
20 Cosenza 37 7 13 17 -22 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Reggiana
16′
🟨 Manuel Marras
1–0 F. Bianchi
N. Galazzi
25′
Dimitri Bisoli 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. Nahounou
↦ P. Rozzio
48′
N. Girma 1–1
G. Moncini 🔁
↦ M. Besaggio
58′
A. Cistana 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
58′
63′
🔁 J. Sosa
↦ A. Meroni
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ F. Bianchi
66′
69′
🔁 L. Štulac
↦ T. Reinhart
A. Jurič 🔁
↦ G. Borrelli
76′
G. Olzer 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
76′
2–1 M. Verreth
G. Moncini
81′
84′
🔁 M. Destro
↦ N. Girma
85′
🔁 O. Urso
↦ M. Marras
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
5 G. Calvani D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
25 D. Bisoli M
6 M. Verreth M
39 M. Besaggio M
23 N. Galazzi M
29 G. Borrelli F
9 F. Bianchi F
Bench (12)
11 G. Moncini
15 A. Cistana
8 B. Bjarnason
7 A. Jurič
27 G. Olzer
16 L. D'Andrea
20 P. Nuamah
19 N. Corrado
32 A. Papetti
26 M. Bertagnoli
22 L. Andrenacci
12 M. Avella

Coach: R. Maran

Reggiana

3-4-1-2
1 E. Motta G
13 A. Meroni D
4 P. Rozzio D
44 L. Lucchesi D
17 L. Libutti M
16 T. Reinhart M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
7 M. Marras M
5 A. Sersanti F
11 C. Gondo F
80 N. Girma F
Bench (12)
87 Y. Nahounou
3 J. Sosa
6 L. Štulac
21 M. Destro
29 O. Urso
8 L. Cigarini
99 A. Sposito
65 F. Paterlini
27 M. Maggio
18 E. Cavaliere
55 J. Kumi
24 F. Brekalo

Coach: D. Dionigi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,17
B
7,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.