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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Cittadella
T U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,8
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
31%
62%
Both score Ø 50%
38%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 16. · Cosenza 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 13 10 0 3 +12 30
2 Reggina 14 8 2 4 +13 26
3 Genoa 13 6 5 2 +5 23
4 Parma 14 6 4 4 +5 22
5 Ternana 14 6 4 4 +2 22
6 Bari 13 5 6 2 +6 21
7 Brescia 13 5 5 3 -1 20
8 Sudtirol 13 5 5 3 -1 20
9 Ascoli 13 5 4 4 +2 19
10 Pisa 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Modena 14 5 2 7 +0 17
12 Cagliari 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Spal 13 3 6 4 +1 15
14 Benevento 14 3 6 5 -2 15
15 Palermo 13 4 3 6 -4 15
16 Cittadella 13 3 6 4 -4 15
17 Cosenza 13 4 2 7 -9 14
18 Como 13 3 4 6 -9 13
19 Venezia 13 2 3 8 -8 9
20 Perugia 13 2 2 9 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Cosenza
18′
🟨 Giacomo Calò
1–0 M. Antonucci
Mamadou Tounkara
25′
38′
🔁 P. Gozzi
↦ P. Martino
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ D. Merola
46′
🔁 S. Väisänen
↦ A. Meroni
Giuseppe Carriero 🟨
58′
Domenico Frare 🟨
60′
Giacomo Beretta 🟨
61′
A. Magrassi 🔁
↦ G. Beretta
68′
D. Mazzocco 🔁
↦ G. Carriero
68′
68′
🔁 E. Brignola
↦ M. Brescianini
73′
🟨 Joaquín Larrivey
81′
E. Brignola 1–1
M. Zilli
83′
🔁 E. Kornvig
↦ J. Larrivey
I. Lores 🔁
↦ N. Pavan
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
16 A. Vita D
2 R. Perticone D
15 D. Frare D
84 T. Cassandro D
20 G. Carriero M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
9 Mamadou Tounkara F
11 G. Beretta F
Bench (11)
99 A. Magrassi
8 D. Mazzocco
30 I. Lores
6 S. Visentin
77 L. Maniero
18 A. Mattioli
72 A. Danzi
29 V. Mastrantonio
5 D. Del Fabro
19 V. Ciriello
17 D. Donnarumma

Coach: E. Gorini

Cosenza

4-3-2-1
77 L. Marson G
3 A. Rispoli D
5 M. Rigione D
13 A. Meroni D
27 P. Martino D
42 I. Voca M
6 G. Calò M
4 M. Brescianini M
18 D. Merola M
10 C. D'Urso M
9 J. Larrivey F
Bench (12)
25 P. Gozzi
40 M. Zilli
15 S. Väisänen
11 E. Brignola
7 E. Kornvig
19 A. Camigliano
14 C. Panico
12 A. Lai
28 A. Sidibe
23 M. Venturi
31 K. Matošević
33 S. La Vardera

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,66
U ✓
3,53
B
5,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.