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Super League
Referee: A Vatsios
Atromitos
S S U U T
3–0
Full-time
Larisa
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
32%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atromitos 8. · Larisa 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 33 27 6 0 +56 87
2 PAOK 33 21 7 5 +30 70
3 AEK 33 17 10 6 +22 61
4 Panathinaikos 32 12 12 8 +5 48
5 OFI Crete 33 11 6 16 -6 39
6 Aris Thessalonikis 30 9 11 10 +4 38
7 Aris 30 9 11 10 +4 38
8 Atromitos 31 10 8 13 -5 38
9 Asteras Tripolis 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Larisa 31 9 10 12 -6 37
11 Lamia 32 6 16 10 -13 34
12 Xanthi 32 9 7 16 -14 34
13 Volos NFC 32 9 7 16 -24 34
14 Panionios 32 7 7 18 -28 28
15 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atromitos Larisa
0–1 M. Bertos
own goal
9′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Bustos
↦ T. Iliadis
46′
🔁 A. Papazoglou
↦ Vinícius
46′
🔁 S. Filip
↦ M. Mužek
1–1 G. Manousos
52′
T. Androutsos 🔁
↦ C. NSikulu
55′
S. Natsos 🟨
63′
71′
🔁 D. Pinakas
↦ J. Assoubre
2–1 T. Androutsos
N. De Pauw
73′
G. Ntaviotis 🔁
↦ B. Rabello
76′
A. Vellios 🔁
↦ G. Manousos
76′
K. Kivrakidis 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Galo
82′
82′
🔁 S. Marković
↦ R. Milosavljević
Madson 🔁
↦ A. Bušuladžić
83′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Atromitos

4-2-3-1
16 B. Megyeri G
12 Rodrigo Galo D
4 D. Goutas D
44 S. Risvanis D
3 A. Katranis D
11 N. De Pauw F
7 A. Bušuladžić M
28 S. Natsos M
9 G. Manousos F
17 B. Rabello M
10 C. N'Sikulu F
Bench (9)
14 T. Androutsos
27 G. Ntaviotis
39 A. Vellios
19 K. Kivrakidis
15 Madson
35 C. Mandas
20 P. Giakoumakis
8 J. Umbides
29 S. Stroungis

Coach: S. Pantelidis

Larisa

4-2-3-1
12 G. Nagy G
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
16 N. Žižić D
13 M. Mužek D
4 T. Iliadis D
9 G. Torje M
77 Vinícius M
22 A. Šećerović M
8 R. Milosavljević M
23 J. Assoubre M
Bench (8)
32 J. Bustos
11 A. Papazoglou
70 S. Filip
29 D. Pinakas
15 S. Marković
1 Ö. Kristinsson
27 D. Loufakis
18 V. Moras

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
3,45
B
4,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Vatsios · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.