Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Odense
Lyngby
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | +30 | 72 |
| 2 |
FC Copenhagen
|
30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +19 | 61 |
| 3 |
Aarhus
|
30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | +13 | 54 |
| 4 |
Brondby
|
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +12 | 48 |
| 5 |
Nordsjaelland
|
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | +14 | 45 |
| 6 |
Aalborg
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | +6 | 41 |
| 7 |
Horsens
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 |
Randers FC
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | +3 | 39 |
| 9 |
Odense
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 39 |
| 10 |
Sonderjyske
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 |
Lyngby
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 |
Hobro
|
30 | 5 | 15 | 10 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 |
Esbjerg
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -23 | 22 |
| 14 |
Silkeborg
|
30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lyngby
Odense
Odense
Sonderjyske
Silkeborg
Odense
Odense
Esbjerg
Aarhus
Odense
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.