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Ligue 2
Referee: E Rosier
Clermont
S U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Bastia
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
32%
36%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 13. · Bastia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 22 14 4 4 +18 46
2 Paris FC 22 13 4 5 +15 43
3 Metz 22 11 8 3 +18 41
4 Dunkerque 22 12 3 7 +7 39
5 Guingamp 22 12 2 8 +13 38
6 Annecy 22 10 6 6 +2 36
7 Laval 22 9 7 6 +10 34
8 Grenoble 22 9 4 9 -1 31
9 Bastia 22 6 12 4 +6 30
10 Pau FC 22 7 8 7 -1 29
11 Amiens 22 9 2 11 -8 29
12 Troyes 22 8 3 11 +0 27
13 Clermont 22 6 6 10 -7 24
14 Ajaccio 22 7 3 12 -12 24
15 Rodez 22 6 5 11 -5 23
16 Red Star 22 6 5 11 -16 23
17 Martigues 22 5 3 14 -24 18
18 Caen 22 4 3 15 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Oct -24 Bastia – Clermont 0–0

Match report

Clermont Bastia
22′
T. Ducrocq 0–1
Baïla Diallo 🟨
25′
Yoan Koré 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Jocelyn Janneh
Half-time 0–1
M. Douane 🔁
↦ Y. Armougom
46′
46′
🔁 J. Guevara
↦ C. Inao Oulaï
46′
🔁 C. Vincent
↦ J. Sebas
50′
🟨 Jocelyn Janneh
50′
🟥 Jocelyn Janneh
Cheick Konaté 🟨
62′
1–1 M. Douane
70′
M. Baaloudj 🔁
↦ H. Keïta
71′
71′
🔁 A. Aiki
↦ L. Cissé
76′
🔁 D. Guidi
↦ A. Boutrah
Johan Gastien 🟨
84′
A. Ackra 🔁
↦ F. Diédhiou
86′
M. Inchaud 🔁
↦ H. Saivet
86′
T. Diagouraga 🔁
↦ C. Konaté
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Clermont

3-5-2
30 T. Guivarch G
23 Y. Koré D
21 Y. Salmier D
31 B. Diallo D
15 C. Konaté M
6 H. Keïta M
25 J. Gastien M
10 H. Saivet M
22 Y. Armougom M
26 M. Bassouamina F
18 F. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
11 M. Douane
77 M. Baaloudj
44 A. Ackra
27 M. Inchaud
37 T. Diagouraga
1 M. N'Diaye
4 E. Kabeya

Coach: L. Batlles

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
24 T. Meynadier D
28 G. Akueson D
4 A. Roncaglia D
17 Z. Ariss D
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
11 L. Cissé M
2 C. Inao Oulaï M
10 A. Boutrah M
22 J. Sebas F
Bench (7)
3 J. Guevara
7 C. Vincent
19 A. Aiki
6 D. Guidi
16 A. Maisonnial
15 F. Bohnert
33 M. Blé

Coach: B. Tavenot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,99
U ✓
2,94
B
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,47
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Rosier · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.