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Coupe de France
Referee: P Gaillouste
Pau FC
U S S U U
1–4
Full-time
Nantes
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
5 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Romorantin 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Olympique d'Alès 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Bergerac 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Chambly Thelle FC 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Quevilly Rouen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Caen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Chateauroux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Sarreguemines 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Thionville Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Pau FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Lyon Duchere 2 2 0 0 +4 6
17 Saint-Priest 2 2 0 0 +4 6
18 Feurs 2 2 0 0 +4 6
19 Dinan Léhon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
20 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
21 Libourne 2 2 0 0 +3 6
22 Racing Colombes 92 2 2 0 0 +3 6
23 Dieppe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
24 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
25 Angers 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Entente S St Gratien 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Les Herbiers 2 2 0 0 +2 6
28 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 2 0 0 +2 6
29 Rouen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
30 Avoine OCC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
31 Auxerre 2 1 1 0 +3 4
32 Revel 2 1 1 0 +3 4
33 Paris FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Trélissac 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Valenciennes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Cannes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Union Cosnoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Epinal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Paimpol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Blagnac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Sarre Union 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 Pontarlier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
51 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
52 Vitré 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Métropole Troyenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
54 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
55 Villers Houlgate CF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
58 Golden Lion 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
60 Pontivy GSI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
61 Furiani-Agliani 2 1 0 1 +1 3
62 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Castanet 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Ergué-Gaberic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
68 AG Caennaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Panazol 2 1 0 1 -1 3
71 Villenave 2 1 0 1 -1 3
72 Biesheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
73 Hauts Lyonnais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
74 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 0 1 -1 3
75 RC Calais 2 1 0 1 -2 3
76 Saint-Meziery 2 1 0 1 -2 3
77 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
78 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
79 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
80 Fabrègues 2 0 2 0 +0 2
81 Challans 2 0 2 0 +0 2
82 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
83 Saint-Omer 2 0 2 0 +0 2
84 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Moulien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Stade Briochin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
101 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
102 Saint-Denis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
103 Domerat 2 0 1 1 -3 1
104 Chaponnay-Marennes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
105 Blériot-Plage 2 0 1 1 -3 1
106 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
107 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
171 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
177 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
178 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
179 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.