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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Hearts

S S S U S

3–2

Full-time

Dundee

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — Premiership · 21/18 matches

Win Ø 40%

52%

28%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

33%

61%

Both score Ø 39%

33%

44%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 3. · Dundee 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	22	17	3	2	+38	54
2	Rangers	20	15	1	4	+30	46
3	Hearts	21	11	3	7	+6	36
4	Kilmarnock	22	8	7	7	+1	31
5	St Mirren	22	8	5	9	-4	29
6	Hibernian	20	6	7	7	-3	25
7	Dundee	18	5	7	6	-6	22
8	Aberdeen	18	6	4	8	-7	22
9	Motherwell	21	4	8	9	-9	20
10	ST Johnstone	20	4	7	9	-14	19
11	Ross County	19	4	6	9	-12	18
12	Livingston	21	2	6	13	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Rangers	10	8	0	2	+15	24
3	Kilmarnock	11	6	3	2	+6	21
4	St Mirren	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	Hearts	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	ST Johnstone	10	4	3	3	-2	15
7	Hibernian	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Motherwell	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Dundee	9	3	3	3	-3	12
10	Aberdeen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Ross County	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	Livingston	10	1	4	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	9	1	1	+20	28
2	Rangers	10	7	1	2	+15	22
3	Hearts	11	7	0	4	+5	21
4	Hibernian	10	3	3	4	-5	12
5	Aberdeen	9	3	2	4	-5	11
6	St Mirren	11	3	2	6	-6	11
7	Dundee	9	2	4	3	-3	10
8	Kilmarnock	11	2	4	5	-5	10
9	Motherwell	10	1	5	4	-6	8
10	Ross County	9	1	4	4	-8	7
11	Livingston	11	1	2	8	-13	5
12	ST Johnstone	10	0	4	6	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.