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Coupe de France
Referee: N Rainville
Colomiers
S
0–1
Full-time
Pau FC
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Colomiers Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Colomiers 48. · Pau FC 30. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Granville 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Paris FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Belfort 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 La Châtaigneraie 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Metz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Évreux 27 3 2 0 1 -2 6
11 Amiens 2 1 1 0 +10 4
12 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
13 Aubagne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
14 Chamalières 2 1 1 0 +3 4
15 Thaon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
16 Loon-Plage 2 1 1 0 +3 4
17 Valenciennes 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
19 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Linas-Montlhery 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Niort 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Stade Pontivy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +5 3
25 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
26 Vire 1 1 0 0 +4 3
27 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Châtellerault 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Villerupt Thil 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Saint-Estève Perpignan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Olympique Marcquois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Grasse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Bellevue Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Vierzon FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Limonest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Wasquehal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
47 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Colomiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Marcoussis Nozay 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Onet-le-Château 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Roche Saint-Genest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Pays de Cassel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Stade Béthunois 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Stade Plabennec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Avoine OCC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
64 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
65 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
66 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
67 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
68 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
69 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
70 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Bourges Foot 18 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Lège-Cap-Ferret 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 La Tamponnaise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
115 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
116 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
117 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
174 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
175 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
176 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.