Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Niort
Sochaux
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Troyes
|
27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 55 |
| 2 |
Clermont
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 52 |
| 3 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +21 | 52 |
| 4 |
Grenoble
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +14 | 49 |
| 5 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +17 | 44 |
| 6 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 44 |
| 7 |
Sochaux
|
27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 39 |
| 8 |
Valenciennes
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 |
Caen
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 34 |
| 11 |
Niort
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 |
Amiens
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Ajaccio
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 |
Nancy
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -2 | 31 |
| 16 |
Dunkerque
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -11 | 28 |
| 17 |
Guingamp
|
27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -7 | 26 |
| 18 |
Pau FC
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -14 | 24 |
| 19 | Chambly | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 |
Chateauroux
|
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Grenoble
Niort
Niort
Pau FC
Caen
Niort
Niort
Chateauroux
Paris FC
Niort
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.