Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Chievo
Pordenone
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Empoli
|
25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | +22 | 46 |
| 2 |
Venezia
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +11 | 45 |
| 3 |
Monza
|
26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | +14 | 44 |
| 4 |
Salernitana
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +3 | 42 |
| 5 |
Cittadella
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +12 | 40 |
| 6 |
Lecce
|
25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | +12 | 39 |
| 7 |
Chievo
|
25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | +9 | 39 |
| 8 |
Spal
|
25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 37 |
| 9 |
Frosinone
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Pordenone | 25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 33 |
| 11 |
Pisa
|
25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Reggina
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 |
Cremonese
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 29 |
| 14 |
Vicenza
|
25 | 5 | 13 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 |
Reggiana
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 |
Brescia
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -5 | 27 |
| 17 |
Cosenza
|
25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | -3 | 26 |
| 18 |
Ascoli
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -13 | 22 |
| 19 |
Pescara
|
25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -23 | 19 |
| 20 |
Virtus Entella
|
25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cosenza
Chievo
Chievo
Monza
Brescia
Chievo
Chievo
Reggiana
Salernitana
Chievo
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.