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Championship

Referee: K Stroud

Bournemouth

S S U U S

2–1

Full-time

QPR

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth QPR

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 7

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 5. · QPR 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Fulham	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Stoke	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	QPR	6	3	3	0	+6	12
5	Bournemouth	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Cardiff	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Coventry	6	4	0	2	+2	12
8	Birmingham	6	3	2	1	+6	11
9	Luton	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Huddersfield	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Preston	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Blackburn	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Sheffield United	7	2	2	3	+2	8
14	Bristol City	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Reading	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Millwall	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Middlesbrough	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Barnsley	6	1	3	2	-3	6
19	Derby	7	1	3	3	-3	6
20	Blackpool	6	1	2	3	-3	5
21	Hull	6	1	2	3	-3	5
22	Swansea	6	1	2	3	-4	5
23	Peterborough	6	1	1	4	-8	4
24	Peterboro	7	1	1	5	-10	4
25	Nott'm Forest	6	0	1	5	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Stoke	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Preston	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Reading	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sheffield United	4	2	0	2	+6	6
9	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Bournemouth	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	QPR	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Cardiff	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Peterboro	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Peterborough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Derby	3	0	3	0	+0	3
21	Blackpool	3	1	0	2	-2	3
22	Bristol City	3	0	2	1	-1	2
23	Swansea	3	0	2	1	-2	2
24	Hull	3	0	1	2	-4	1
25	Nott'm Forest	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Cardiff	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	QPR	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Fulham	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Blackburn	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Hull	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Luton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Stoke	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Swansea	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Coventry	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Derby	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Blackpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Millwall	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Middlesbrough	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Barnsley	3	0	2	1	-3	2
20	Sheffield United	3	0	2	1	-4	2
21	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Preston	3	0	1	2	-2	1
23	Reading	3	0	0	3	-6	0
24	Peterborough	3	0	0	3	-8	0
25	Peterboro	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.