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Championship
Referee: J Linington
Coventry
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Luton 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Hull 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Derby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Preston 1 0 0 1 -3 0
22 Peterboro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
23 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Nott'm Forest
Ben Sheaf 🟨
34′
36′
L. Taylor 0–1
B. Johnson
45′
🔁 Tobias Figueiredo
↦ L. Mbe Soh
Half-time 0–1
M. Rose 🔁
↦ J. Da Costa
46′
Kyle McFadzean 🟨
49′
Ian Maatsen 🟨
55′
58′
🟨 Lyle Taylor
Gustavo Hamer 🟨
60′
T. Walker 🔁
↦ M. Waghorn
69′
J. Jones 🔁
↦ I. Maatsen
70′
75′
🔁 P. Zinckernagel
↦ A. Mighten
1–1 V. Gyökeres
B. Sheaf
81′
88′
🔁 Cafú
↦ L. Taylor
2–1 K. McFadzean
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Coventry

3-4-1-2
1 S. Moore G
5 K. McFadzean D
23 F. Dabo D
29 J. Da Costa M
15 D. Hyam D
18 I. Maatsen M
14 B. Sheaf M
10 C. O'Hare F
38 G. Hamer M
9 M. Waghorn F
17 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (7)
4 M. Rose
19 T. Walker
7 J. Jones
8 J. Allen
16 J. Pask
26 J. Shipley
13 B. Wilson

Coach: M. Robins

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
30 B. Samba G
13 G. Bong D
26 S. McKenna D
27 J. Lawrence-Gabriel D
6 L. Mbe Soh D
8 J. Colback M
22 R. Yates M
20 B. Johnson M
33 L. Taylor F
23 J. Lolley M
17 A. Mighten M
Bench (7)
3 Tobias Figueiredo
11 P. Zinckernagel
18 Cafú
38 T. Fornah
10 João Carvalho
1 E. Horvath
44 F. Back

Coach: C. Hughton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
U
3,08
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.