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Championship
Referee: J Simpson
Middlesbrough
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Huddersfield
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
This season — Championship · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
45%
52%
Both score Ø 47%
41%
52%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 9. · Huddersfield 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 29 17 7 5 +15 58
2 Watford 30 15 9 6 +18 54
3 Brentford 27 15 8 4 +24 53
4 Reading 29 14 6 9 +8 48
5 Bournemouth 28 12 10 6 +16 46
6 Swansea 24 13 7 4 +16 46
7 Stoke 30 10 12 8 +1 42
8 Cardiff 29 11 7 11 +7 40
9 Middlesbrough 29 11 7 11 +2 40
10 Blackburn 28 11 6 11 +11 39
11 Barnsley 26 11 6 9 +1 39
12 Preston 30 12 3 15 -4 39
13 Bristol City 29 12 3 14 -10 39
14 Millwall 29 8 14 7 +1 38
15 Luton 28 10 7 11 -6 37
16 Sheffield Weds 29 9 7 13 -10 34
17 Nott'm Forest 29 8 9 12 -5 33
18 QPR 27 8 9 10 -6 33
19 Huddersfield 29 9 6 14 -9 33
20 Derby 28 8 7 13 -10 31
21 Coventry 29 7 10 12 -13 31
22 Rotherham 27 8 5 14 -5 29
23 Birmingham 29 6 10 13 -14 28
24 Wycombe 28 4 7 17 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Huddersfield
9′
I. Mbenza 0–1
30′
🔁 Álex Vallejo
↦ I. Mbenza
1–1 D. Watmore
A. Fletcher
31′
Sam Morsy 🟨
33′
2–1 A. Fletcher
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Rowe
↦ A. Pritchard
55′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ D. Holmes
70′
🟨 Lewis O'Brien
D. Spence 🔁
↦ D. Fisher
79′
G. Saville 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
79′
Paddy McNair 🟥
81′
M. Johnson 🔁
↦ D. Watmore
85′
85′
🔁 M. Daly
↦ R. Keogh
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ A. Fletcher
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-1-4-2
1 M. Bettinelli G
4 G. Hall D
20 D. Fisher M
27 M. Bola M
2 A. Dijksteel D
16 J. Howson M
5 Sam Morsy M
21 N. Kebano M
17 P. McNair D
18 D. Watmore F
11 A. Fletcher F
Bench (8)
29 D. Spence
22 G. Saville
3 M. Johnson
10 C. Akpom
33 H. Coulson
13 J. Archer
19 N. Mendez-Laing
9 B. Assombalonga

Coach: N. Warnock

Huddersfield

4-3-3
31 R. Schofield G
15 R. Keogh D
23 N. Sarr D
2 Pipa Ávila D
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Pritchard M
9 D. Holmes F
7 J. Bacuna M
8 L. O'Brien D
22 F. Campbell F
18 I. Mbenza F
Bench (9)
5 Álex Vallejo
29 A. Rowe
36 K. Phillips
34 M. Daly
12 R. Stearman
13 J. Leutwiler
27 R. Crichlow
17 D. Duhaney
49 S. High

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,42
B
4,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Simpson · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.