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Eliteserien

Referee: Sivert Amland

Lillestrom

S T S T S

1–2

Full-time

Kristiansund

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

44%

25%

Both score Ø 36%

33%

38%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,01 xG 1,04

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 4. · Kristiansund 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	8	0	1	+18	+10.6	24
2	Tromso	11	7	2	2	+4	+4.4	23
3	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+15	+12.1	19
4	Lillestrom	9	6	1	2	+9	+4.0	19
5	Molde	9	5	1	3	+5	+0.8	16
6	Brann	9	4	1	4	+8	+5.5	13
7	Ham-Kam	8	4	1	3	-1	-1.2	13
8	Sandefjord	9	4	1	4	-2	-1.1	13
9	Valerenga	9	3	2	4	-4	-4.3	11
10	Fredrikstad	9	3	1	5	-6	-7.2	10
11	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.7	8
12	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-5	-3.3	8
13	KFUM Oslo	9	2	2	5	-7	-4.7	8
14	Rosenborg	9	2	2	5	-7	-2.2	8
15	Aalesund	8	1	3	4	-6	-8.6	6
16	Start	10	0	4	6	-16	-5.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+7	+7.8	16
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Molde	5	4	0	1	+9	+3.3	12
4	Ham-Kam	5	4	0	1	+3	-0.7	12
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	0	1	+12	+10.4	9
6	Lillestrom	4	3	0	1	+6	+3.6	9
7	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.0	7
8	Sandefjord	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.4	7
9	Rosenborg	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.3	7
10	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.0	7
11	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.9	7
12	Brann	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.7	6
13	KFUM Oslo	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.5	6
14	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.9	5
15	Start	4	0	3	1	-3	+0.5	3
16	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
2	Lillestrom	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.3	10
3	Viking	4	3	0	1	+3	+6.3	9
4	Brann	5	2	1	2	+7	+1.8	7
5	Tromso	4	2	1	1	-3	-3.5	7
6	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.5	6
7	Aalesund	4	1	1	2	-3	-6.7	4
8	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
9	Molde	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.5	4
10	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	0	4	-5	-1.2	3
11	Fredrikstad	5	1	0	4	-8	-5.2	3
12	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
13	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.6	1
14	Kristiansund	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.3	1
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.5	1
16	Start	6	0	1	5	-13	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.