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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J W Grundt
Moss
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 64%
57%
71%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
86%
86%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,7
4,1
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 7. · Stromsgodset 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 7 5 2 0 +10 17
2 Stromsgodset 7 5 1 1 +9 16
3 Odd 7 5 1 1 +8 16
4 Stabaek 7 4 1 2 +8 13
5 Haugesund 7 4 1 2 +3 13
6 Egersund 7 4 0 3 +4 12
7 Moss 7 4 0 3 -2 12
8 hodd 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Ranheim 6 3 1 2 +5 10
10 Sogndal 7 2 2 3 -4 8
11 Sandnes ULF 7 2 1 4 -2 7
12 Bryne 7 2 1 4 -3 7
13 Lyn 7 2 0 5 -8 6
14 Strommen 6 1 1 4 -8 4
15 Raufoss 7 1 1 5 -8 4
16 Asane 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Stromsgodset
1–0 O. Aga
J. Laegreid
12′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 J. Taaje
H. Vold Krohg 🔁
↦ J. Musbaudeen
62′
68′
M. Mehnert 1–1
70′
🔁 O. Enersen
↦ L. Vilsvik
70′
🔁 G. Wikheim
↦ E. Melkersen
T. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ P. Andersen
72′
R. Hermanstad 🔁
↦ O. Aga
72′
K. Harrison 🔁
↦ S. Gronli
73′
78′
🔁 K. Krasniqi
↦ V. Dedes
85′
🔁 B. Sormo
↦ J. Taaje
85′
🔁 S. A. Marcello Silalahi
↦ F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
R. Hermanstad 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Eriksen
2 M. Cassidy
24 W. Olofsson
14 J. Musbaudeen
3 K. Strande
17 P. Andersen
16 W. Kvale
21 S. Gronli
9 O. Aga
7 J. Laegreid
20 N. Semmen
Bench (9)
30 M. Skott-Grande
4 K. Harrison
5 E. Race
8 H. Vold Krohg
11 T. Jakobsen
22 J. Ogbole
23 R. Hermanstad
31 J. Harveg
32 F. Lovtangen

Coach: Martin Nesselquist Ole

Stromsgodset

12 S. Lampinen-Skaug
3 V. Dedes
71 G. Valsvik
10 H. Stengel
25 J. Taaje
22 K. Antonsen
26 L. Vilsvik
16 F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
9 E. Melkersen
11 S. Pingel
77 M. Mehnert
Bench (9)
1 M. Lamhauge
4 A. van der Spa
5 B. Sormo
8 K. Krasniqi
14 O. Enersen
15 A. Heredia-Randen
37 S. A. Marcello Silalahi
39 M. Spiten
80 G. Wikheim

Coach: Magne Hoseth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.