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Eliteserien
Referee: M Støfringshaug
Ham-Kam
U U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Brann
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
18%
58%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
27%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,28 xG 3,10
34% Possession 66%
17 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 11. · Brann 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 11 7 3 1 +16 +8.4 24
2 Brann 12 7 3 2 +8 +10.2 24
3 Fredrikstad 11 6 3 2 +9 +0.8 21
4 Molde 11 6 2 3 +9 +9.4 20
5 Viking 10 5 3 2 +5 +5.2 18
6 Stromsgodset 10 5 1 4 -1 -2.2 16
7 KFUM Oslo 10 3 5 2 +0 +3.4 14
8 Rosenborg 10 4 1 5 -3 -3.0 13
9 Haugesund 10 4 1 5 -4 -1.8 13
10 Odd 11 3 3 5 -10 -11.7 12
11 Ham-Kam 11 2 4 5 +0 -0.9 10
12 Tromso 10 3 1 6 -4 -5.4 10
13 Kristiansund 11 2 4 5 -5 -6.3 10
14 Lillestrom 10 3 1 6 -7 -3.3 10
15 Sarpsborg 08 10 3 1 6 -9 -3.4 10
16 Sandefjord 10 2 2 6 -4 +0.7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Brann
William Kurtović 🟨
8′
9′
J. Soltvedt 0–1
Moses Dramwi Mawa 🟨
11′
29′
🟨 Sivert Heltne Nilsen
Half-time 0–1
P. Kirkevold 🔁
↦ M. Mawa
46′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ J. Norheim
46′
A. Ødegård 🔁
↦ W. Kurtović
46′
50′
🟨 Svenn Crone
1–1 G. Simenstad
51′
59′
🔁 T. Pedersen
↦ S. Heltne Nilsen
60′
🔁 A. Heggebø
↦ B. Finne
60′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ S. Kartum
74′
O. Didrik Blomberg 1–2
O. Kjærgaard 🔁
↦ N. Ødegård
75′
76′
🔁 R. Kristiansen
↦ J. Soltvedt
85′
🟨 Ruben Kristiansen
S. Strand Nilsen 🔁
↦ F. Sjølstad
85′
91′
🔁 E. Helland
↦ O. Didrik Blomberg
Oliver Kjærgaard 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Japhet Sery Larsen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
21 V. Jónsson D
14 L. Mares D
23 F. Sjølstad D
6 J. Norheim D
2 V. Kongsro D
18 G. Simenstad M
19 W. Kurtović M
10 M. Mawa M
17 N. Ødegård F
9 H. Udahl F
Bench (9)
16 P. Kirkevold
26 B. Bjarnason
24 A. Ødegård
8 O. Kjærgaard
22 S. Strand Nilsen
1 S. Østraat
11 T. Sørås
20 J. Gonstad
3 S. Rogers

Coach: J. Michelsen

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
10 E. Kornvig M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
11 B. Finne F
18 S. Kartum F
Bench (8)
23 T. Pedersen
20 A. Heggebø
9 N. Castro
21 R. Kristiansen
26 E. Helland
2 M. Hellan
7 M. Warming
36 E. Holmen Johansen

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Støfringshaug · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.