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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Szczerbowicz
Pogon Szczecin
T S T U S
3–0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,29 xG 0,28
51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Mar -24 Korona Kielce – Pogon Szczecin 2–2 16. Sep -23 Pogon Szczecin – Korona Kielce 3–1 18. Mar -23 Pogon Szczecin – Korona Kielce 0–0 4. Sep -22 Korona Kielce – Pogon Szczecin 1–2 20. Dec -19 Pogon Szczecin – Korona Kielce 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.