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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
West Brom
T U U T S
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Premier League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 14. · Crystal Palace 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 27 16 8 3 +20 56
2 Tottenham 26 14 9 3 +27 51
3 Arsenal 26 15 6 5 +18 51
4 Man City 26 14 5 7 +20 47
5 West Ham 27 11 10 6 +10 43
6 Man United 26 11 8 7 +9 41
7 Southampton 27 11 7 9 +9 40
8 Stoke 27 11 6 10 -4 39
9 Liverpool 26 10 8 8 +2 38
10 Watford 27 10 7 10 +1 37
11 Chelsea 27 9 9 9 +3 36
12 Everton 26 8 11 7 +11 35
13 Crystal Palace 26 9 5 12 -5 32
14 West Brom 26 8 8 10 -8 32
15 Bournemouth 27 7 8 12 -14 29
16 Swansea 26 6 9 11 -10 27
17 Norwich 27 6 6 15 -21 24
18 Newcastle 26 6 6 14 -22 24
19 Sunderland 27 6 5 16 -19 23
20 Aston Villa 27 3 7 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Crystal Palace
1–0 C. Gardner
12′
Craig Dawson 🟨
17′
2–0 C. Dawson
C. Gardner
20′
25′
🟨 Emmanuel Adebayor
3–0 S. Berahino
S. Sessègnon
31′
J. Chester 🔁
↦ C. Brunt
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Y. Bolasie
↦ E. Adebayor
48′
C. Wickham 3–1
D. Delaney
64′
🟨 Yohan Cabaye
J. McClean 🔁
↦ S. Sessègnon
75′
James Chester 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ Y. Cabaye
80′
C. Wickham 3–2
81′
🔁 M. Jedinak
↦ J. Ledley
Sandro 🔁
↦ S. Rondón
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

West Brom

1 B. Foster G
3 J. Olsson D
23 G. McAuley D
25 C. Dawson D
29 S. Sessègnon F
8 C. Gardner M
24 D. Fletcher M
5 C. Yacob M
11 C. Brunt D
33 S. Rondón F
18 S. Berahino F
Bench (7)
4 J. Chester
14 J. McClean
30 Sandro
10 V. Anichebe
13 G. Myhill
17 R. Lambert
20 A. Pritchard

Crystal Palace

13 W. Hennessey G
27 D. Delaney D
6 S. Dann D
34 M. Kelly D
2 J. Ward D
7 Y. Cabaye M
22 J. Mutch M
28 J. Ledley M
11 W. Zaha M
25 E. Adebayor F
21 C. Wickham F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Bolasie
16 D. Gayle
15 M. Jedinak
1 J. Speroni
3 A. Mariappa
14 Chung-Yong Lee
29 M. Chamakh

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.