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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

AZ Alkmaar

S S S S T

4–2

Full-time

For Sittard

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

3,2

5,2

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

0,3

3,7

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 41%

52%

30%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

74%

78%

Both score Ø 57%

48%

65%

Average goals

3,3

3,9

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · For Sittard 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	24	19	4	1	+60	61
2	Ajax	23	18	2	3	+62	56
3	Feyenoord	23	13	4	6	+19	43
4	AZ Alkmaar	23	12	4	7	+19	40
5	Heracles	22	11	2	9	+1	35
6	Vitesse	21	9	6	6	+8	33
7	Utrecht	21	8	6	7	+2	30
8	Heerenveen	24	7	9	8	-1	30
9	VVV Venlo	24	8	5	11	-12	29
10	Groningen	22	8	4	10	-1	28
11	Willem II	24	8	4	12	-9	28
12	Den Haag	24	7	7	10	-15	28
13	For Sittard	23	7	5	11	-14	26
14	Excelsior	24	7	5	12	-24	26
15	Zwolle	23	7	4	12	-12	25
16	FC Emmen	23	6	6	11	-24	24
17	De Graafschap	24	6	4	14	-26	22
18	NAC Breda	24	4	5	15	-33	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	1	0	+40	34
2	Feyenoord	11	10	0	1	+21	30
3	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+41	29
4	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	3	2	+15	21
6	Vitesse	10	6	3	1	+7	21
7	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+8	18
8	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	For Sittard	12	5	3	4	+4	18
10	Excelsior	13	5	3	5	-8	18
11	De Graafschap	13	5	2	6	+0	17
12	Groningen	11	5	1	5	+4	16
13	NAC Breda	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Den Haag	12	4	3	5	-9	15
15	Willem II	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Heerenveen	12	2	5	5	-7	11
17	Zwolle	12	3	2	7	-7	11
18	FC Emmen	12	2	4	6	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	0	3	+21	27
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+20	27
3	Heerenveen	12	5	4	3	+6	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	1	5	+4	19
5	Willem II	13	5	2	6	-5	17
6	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-5	14
7	FC Emmen	11	4	2	5	-14	14
8	Feyenoord	12	3	4	5	-2	13
9	Den Haag	12	3	4	5	-6	13
10	Vitesse	11	3	3	5	+1	12
11	Groningen	11	3	3	5	-5	12
12	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Heracles	11	3	2	6	-12	11
14	VVV Venlo	13	3	2	8	-18	11
15	Excelsior	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	For Sittard	11	2	2	7	-18	8
17	De Graafschap	11	1	2	8	-26	5
18	NAC Breda	12	0	2	10	-29	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.