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Ligue 1

Referee: Tony Chapron

Nantes

S U T S S

0–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 69%

53%

84%

Points per game

1,7

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

37%

79%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

1,9

3,8

Scored

0,9

3,1

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

31% Possession 69%

13 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 5. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	16	2	1	+43	50
2	Monaco	20	13	3	4	+27	42
3	Lyon	20	12	6	2	+26	42
4	Marseille	20	12	5	3	+19	41
5	Nantes	19	10	3	6	+0	33
6	Nice	20	9	3	8	-4	30
7	Guingamp	20	8	5	7	-1	29
8	Montpellier	20	6	9	5	+4	27
9	Dijon	20	7	4	9	-5	25
10	Rennes	20	7	4	9	-5	25
11	Strasbourg	20	6	6	8	-9	24
12	Caen	20	7	3	10	-10	24
13	Bordeaux	20	6	5	9	-6	23
14	St Etienne	20	6	5	9	-13	23
15	Lille	20	6	4	10	-12	22
16	Amiens	20	6	3	11	-6	21
17	Troyes	20	6	3	11	-8	21
18	Angers	20	3	10	7	-8	19
19	Toulouse	20	5	4	11	-11	19
20	Metz	20	3	3	14	-21	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	10	0	0	+27	30
2	Monaco	10	8	1	1	+19	25
3	Marseille	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Dijon	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+9	19
6	Guingamp	10	5	4	1	+7	19
7	Nantes	9	6	1	2	+4	19
8	Nice	11	6	1	4	+2	19
9	Caen	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	St Etienne	11	4	4	3	-2	16
11	Strasbourg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Montpellier	11	3	5	3	+2	14
13	Toulouse	9	4	2	3	+2	14
14	Bordeaux	9	4	2	3	+1	14
15	Troyes	11	4	2	5	-1	14
16	Amiens	9	4	1	4	+2	13
17	Rennes	10	4	1	5	-4	13
18	Lille	9	3	3	3	-1	12
19	Angers	9	1	4	4	-7	7
20	Metz	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Marseille	11	6	3	2	+5	21
3	Paris SG	9	6	2	1	+16	20
4	Monaco	10	5	2	3	+8	17
5	Nantes	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Montpellier	9	3	4	2	+2	13
7	Rennes	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Angers	11	2	6	3	-1	12
9	Nice	9	3	2	4	-6	11
10	Guingamp	10	3	1	6	-8	10
11	Lille	11	3	1	7	-11	10
12	Bordeaux	11	2	3	6	-7	9
13	Strasbourg	10	2	3	5	-11	9
14	Metz	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Amiens	11	2	2	7	-8	8
16	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Caen	9	2	1	6	-10	7
18	St Etienne	9	2	1	6	-11	7
19	Dijon	9	1	2	6	-10	5
20	Toulouse	11	1	2	8	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.