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Ligue 1

Referee: Brisard Jerome

Paris SG

U S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Troyes

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 61%

86%

36%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

79%

57%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

3,9

2,4

Scored

3,2

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Troyes 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	2	0	+35	38
2	Marseille	15	9	4	2	+13	31
3	Lyon	15	8	5	2	+21	29
4	Monaco	15	9	2	4	+20	29
5	Nantes	15	8	2	5	-1	26
6	Caen	15	7	2	6	-4	23
7	Montpellier	15	5	6	4	+4	21
8	Rennes	15	6	3	6	+0	21
9	Amiens	15	6	3	6	+0	21
10	Bordeaux	15	5	5	5	+0	20
11	St Etienne	15	5	4	6	-7	19
12	Troyes	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Dijon	15	5	3	7	-4	18
14	Nice	15	5	2	8	-9	17
15	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-8	16
16	Guingamp	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Strasbourg	15	3	6	6	-9	15
18	Lille	15	4	3	8	-9	15
19	Angers	15	2	8	5	-7	14
20	Metz	15	1	1	13	-24	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Monaco	7	5	1	1	+16	16
3	Nantes	7	5	1	1	+4	16
4	Caen	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Lyon	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+9	14
7	Bordeaux	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Amiens	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Guingamp	8	3	4	1	+2	13
10	Dijon	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Montpellier	8	3	3	2	+4	12
12	St Etienne	8	3	3	2	+0	12
13	Toulouse	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Rennes	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	Nice	8	3	1	4	-2	10
17	Strasbourg	7	2	3	2	+2	9
18	Lille	7	2	2	3	-2	8
19	Angers	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Metz	8	0	0	8	-17	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	2	0	+14	17
2	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Lyon	7	4	2	1	+14	14
4	Monaco	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	Angers	8	2	5	1	+1	11
6	Rennes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Nantes	8	3	1	4	-5	10
8	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Amiens	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Troyes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Caen	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Lille	8	2	1	5	-7	7
13	St Etienne	7	2	1	4	-7	7
14	Nice	7	2	1	4	-7	7
15	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Strasbourg	8	1	3	4	-11	6
17	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Toulouse	8	1	2	5	-9	5
19	Metz	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Guingamp	7	1	0	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.