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Ligue 1
Referee: Amaury Delerue
Angers
T T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Dijon
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
11%
39%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
39%
78%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
24 Shots 16
11 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 19. · Dijon 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 18 15 2 1 +41 47
2 Monaco 18 12 2 4 +26 38
3 Lyon 18 11 5 2 +25 38
4 Marseille 18 10 5 3 +14 35
5 Nantes 18 9 3 6 -1 30
6 Nice 18 8 2 8 -5 26
7 Rennes 18 7 4 7 -1 25
8 Dijon 18 7 3 8 -4 24
9 Strasbourg 18 6 6 6 -4 24
10 Caen 18 7 3 8 -7 24
11 Montpellier 18 5 8 5 +2 23
12 Guingamp 18 6 5 7 -4 23
13 Amiens 18 6 3 9 -4 21
14 Troyes 18 6 3 9 -5 21
15 Bordeaux 18 5 5 8 -5 20
16 St Etienne 18 5 5 8 -14 20
17 Toulouse 18 5 4 9 -8 19
18 Lille 18 5 3 10 -13 18
19 Angers 18 2 9 7 -9 15
20 Metz 18 2 2 14 -24 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Dijon
7′
N. Sliti 0–1
24′
🟨 Wesley Saïd
Mehdi Tahrat 🟨
32′
L. Puyo 🔁
↦ M. Tahrat
37′
1–1 K. Toko Ekambi
43′
Angelo Fulgini 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Xeka
2–1 K. Toko Ekambi
55′
61′
🟨 Ádám Lang
68′
🔁 Kwon Chang-Hoon
↦ F. Sammaritano
F. Tait 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
74′
Thomas Mangani 🟨
79′
85′
🔁 Dylan Bahamboula
↦ N. Sliti
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
86′
87′
🔁 V. Rüfli
↦ A. Bouka Moutou
90′
🟨 Ádám Lang
90′
🟥 Ádám Lang
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-3-1-2
30 A. Letellier G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
26 M. Tahrat D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
23 A. Fulgini M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
9 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
21 L. Puyo
20 F. Tait
12 L. Coulibaly
31 Y. Belaïli
10 G. Sunu
25 A. Bamba
40 A. Mandrea

Coach: S. Moulin

Dijon

4-4-2
30 B. Reynet G
4 P. Djilobodji D
2 Á. Lang D
3 A. Bouka Moutou D
19 V. Rosier D
7 F. Sammaritano M
8 M. Abeid M
10 N. Sliti M
28 Xeka M
29 B. Jeannot F
9 W. Saïd F
Bench (7)
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon
24 Dylan Bahamboula
23 V. Rüfli
1 B. Leroy
14 J. Marié
18 C. Yamberé
21 E. Massouema

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Amaury Delerue · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.