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Ligue 1
Referee: Piccirillo Herve
Amiens
U U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Dijon
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
21%
71%
Both score Ø 46%
21%
71%
Average goals
1,9
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 10. · Dijon 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 12 2 0 +35 38
2 Lyon 14 8 5 1 +22 29
3 Monaco 14 9 2 3 +21 29
4 Marseille 14 8 4 2 +10 28
5 Nantes 14 7 2 5 -2 23
6 Caen 14 7 1 6 -4 22
7 Montpellier 14 5 5 4 +4 20
8 St Etienne 14 5 4 5 -4 19
9 Rennes 14 5 3 6 -1 18
10 Amiens 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Troyes 14 5 3 6 -2 18
12 Dijon 14 5 3 6 -3 18
13 Bordeaux 14 4 5 5 -3 17
14 Toulouse 14 4 4 6 -7 16
15 Guingamp 14 4 3 7 -9 15
16 Angers 14 2 8 4 -6 14
17 Strasbourg 14 3 5 6 -9 14
18 Nice 14 4 2 8 -10 14
19 Lille 14 3 3 8 -10 12
20 Metz 14 1 1 12 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Dijon
1–0 G. Kakuta
3′
15′
Kwon Chang-Hoon 1–1
F. Sammaritano
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Q. Cornette
50′
56′
🔁 W. Saïd
↦ F. Balmont
H. Manzala 🔁
↦ Q. Cornette
66′
J. Ielsch 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
73′
78′
🟨 Mehdi Abeid
78′
🔁 R. Amalfitano
↦ M. Abeid
81′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ F. Sammaritano
K. Adénon 🔁
↦ L. Traoré
86′
88′
🟨 Oussama Haddadi
90′
🟨 Frédéric Sammaritano
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
35 Danilo Avelar D
2 P. Gouano D
25 I. Cissokho D
12 B. Dibassy D
6 T. Monconduit M
34 B. Zungu M
37 S. Gakpé M
28 L. Traoré F
14 G. Kakuta M
13 Q. Cornette F
Bench (7)
7 H. Manzala
23 J. Ielsch
3 K. Adénon
16 J. Bouet
19 O. El Hajjam
20 S. Baradji
29 S. Koita

Coach: C. Pélissier

Dijon

4-3-3
30 B. Reynet G
4 P. Djilobodji D
5 O. Haddadi D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
15 F. Balmont M
7 F. Sammaritano M
8 M. Abeid M
28 Xeka M
11 Júlio Tavares F
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
9 W. Saïd
20 R. Amalfitano
29 B. Jeannot
1 B. Leroy
14 J. Marié
26 F. Chafik
27 C. Varrault

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.