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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Paris SG
S S S U U
3–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
18 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Rennes 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 St Etienne 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Reims 7 3 3 1 +4 12
5 Angers 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Caen 6 4 0 2 +0 12
7 Lyon 6 2 3 1 +4 9
8 Guingamp 6 3 0 3 -1 9
9 Nice 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Lorient 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Monaco 6 2 2 2 -2 8
12 Marseille 6 2 1 3 +5 7
13 Bordeaux 6 1 4 1 +1 7
14 Lille 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Bastia 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Nantes 6 2 1 3 -4 7
17 Toulouse 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Troyes 6 0 3 3 -9 3
19 Montpellier 6 0 1 5 -6 1
20 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Guingamp
1–0 J. Pastore
Z. Ibrahimovic
18′
Half-time 1–0
Blaise Matuidi 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 N. Benezet
↦ N. De Pauw
Thiago Silva 🔁
↦ G. van der Wiel
66′
72′
🔁 J. Briand
↦ M. Coco
M. Verratti 🔁
↦ J. Pastore
75′
2–0 Á. di María
76′
3–0 Z. Ibrahimovic
Á. di María
83′
E. Lavezzi 🔁
↦ Á. di María
84′
86′
🟨 Younousse Sankharé
89′
🔁 M. Dembélé
↦ Y. Salibur
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

16 K. Trapp G
17 Maxwell D
32 David Luiz D
23 G. van der Wiel D
5 Marquinhos D
14 B. Matuidi M
8 Thiago Motta M
11 Á. di María F
27 J. Pastore M
10 Z. Ibrahimovic F
9 E. Cavani F
Bench (7)
2 Thiago Silva
6 M. Verratti
22 E. Lavezzi
4 B. Stambouli
7 Lucas Moura
20 L. Kurzawa
30 S. Sirigu

Guingamp

1 J. Lössl G
2 L. Jacobsen D
15 J. Sorbon D
4 B. Angoua D
18 L. Mathis M
5 M. Diallo M
13 Y. Sankhare M
19 Y. Salibur M
20 L. Dos Santos D
24 M. Coco M
12 N. De Pauw F
Bench (7)
10 N. Benezet
23 J. Briand
9 M. Dembélé
11 S. Privat
8 J. Cardy
27 F. Hery
30 M. Samassa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.