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Ligue 1
Referee: Fredy Fautrel
St Etienne
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Monaco
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
48%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
40%
44%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Monaco 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 22 4 0 +51 70
2 Monaco 25 12 9 4 +8 45
3 Lyon 26 11 6 9 +10 39
4 Nice 25 11 6 8 +9 39
5 St Etienne 25 12 3 10 +2 39
6 Nantes 26 10 9 7 +2 39
7 Rennes 26 9 11 6 +3 38
8 Angers 26 10 7 9 +1 37
9 Bordeaux 26 9 9 8 -3 36
10 Caen 26 11 3 12 -8 36
11 Marseille 25 8 10 7 +9 34
12 Bastia 26 10 4 12 -4 34
13 Lille 26 6 13 7 +0 31
14 Lorient 26 7 10 9 -3 31
15 Guingamp 26 8 7 11 -6 31
16 Montpellier 26 8 5 13 -1 29
17 Reims 26 7 8 11 -7 29
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 26 6 9 11 -10 27
19 Toulouse 26 4 9 13 -19 21
20 Troyes 26 2 8 16 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Dec -15 Monaco – St Etienne 1–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.