Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Fiorentina

T S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Inter

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Fiorentina Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 56%

58%

54%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 6

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 6

1 Red cards 2

The table before the match Fiorentina 4. · Inter 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	25	18	3	4	+31	57
2	Napoli	25	17	5	3	+33	56
3	Roma	25	13	8	4	+20	47
4	Fiorentina	24	14	4	6	+19	46
5	Inter	24	13	6	5	+10	45
6	Milan	25	12	7	6	+10	43
7	Lazio	25	10	6	9	+0	36
8	Sassuolo	25	8	11	6	+0	35
9	Empoli	25	9	7	9	-4	34
10	Bologna	25	10	3	12	-2	33
11	Torino	25	8	7	10	+0	31
12	Chievo	25	8	7	10	-3	31
13	Atalanta	25	7	8	10	-4	29
14	Udinese	25	7	6	12	-17	27
15	Palermo	25	7	5	13	-15	26
16	Genoa	25	6	7	12	-5	25
17	Sampdoria	25	6	7	12	-7	25
18	Frosinone	25	6	4	15	-25	22
19	Carpi	25	4	7	14	-20	19
20	Verona	25	1	12	12	-21	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	2	0	+19	32
2	Juventus	12	9	2	1	+13	29
3	Fiorentina	12	9	1	2	+16	28
4	Roma	12	8	3	1	+14	27
5	Milan	13	8	3	2	+8	27
6	Lazio	13	7	3	3	+10	24
7	Inter	12	7	2	3	+5	23
8	Torino	13	5	4	4	+5	19
9	Atalanta	12	5	4	3	+5	19
10	Sampdoria	13	5	4	4	+4	19
11	Genoa	12	5	3	4	+4	18
12	Sassuolo	12	4	6	2	+0	18
13	Frosinone	13	5	2	6	-6	17
14	Bologna	13	4	3	6	+0	15
15	Empoli	12	4	3	5	+0	15
16	Chievo	12	3	5	4	-1	14
17	Palermo	13	4	2	7	-5	14
18	Carpi	13	3	4	6	-4	13
19	Udinese	12	3	3	6	-9	12
20	Verona	13	1	6	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	9	1	3	+18	28
2	Napoli	13	7	3	3	+14	24
3	Inter	12	6	4	2	+5	22
4	Roma	13	5	5	3	+6	20
5	Empoli	13	5	4	4	-4	19
6	Fiorentina	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Bologna	12	6	0	6	-2	18
8	Sassuolo	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Chievo	13	5	2	6	-2	17
10	Milan	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-8	15
12	Torino	12	3	3	6	-5	12
13	Lazio	12	3	3	6	-10	12
14	Palermo	12	3	3	6	-10	12
15	Atalanta	13	2	4	7	-9	10
16	Genoa	13	1	4	8	-9	7
17	Sampdoria	12	1	3	8	-11	6
18	Verona	12	0	6	6	-13	6
19	Carpi	12	1	3	8	-16	6
20	Frosinone	12	1	2	9	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.