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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Torino
U U S T U
0–0
Full-time
Genoa
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
61%
28%
Both score Ø 53%
67%
39%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
25 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 11. · Genoa 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 19 15 3 1 +29 48
2 Juventus 18 14 2 2 +31 44
3 Inter 18 12 4 2 +20 40
4 Roma 17 12 2 3 +17 38
5 Lazio 17 11 3 3 +21 36
6 Fiorentina 19 7 6 6 +8 27
7 Sampdoria 17 8 3 6 +6 27
8 Atalanta 18 7 6 5 +5 27
9 Milan 19 7 4 8 -3 25
10 Udinese 17 8 0 9 +5 24
11 Torino 18 5 9 4 -2 24
12 Bologna 18 7 3 8 -3 24
13 Chievo 18 5 6 7 -11 21
14 Sassuolo 18 6 2 10 -16 20
15 Genoa 18 4 5 9 -7 17
16 Cagliari 18 5 2 11 -13 17
17 Spal 18 3 6 9 -12 15
18 Crotone 19 4 3 12 -24 15
19 Verona 18 3 4 11 -19 13
20 Benevento 18 0 1 17 -32 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Genoa
38′
🟨 Aleandro Rosi
Half-time 0–0
Mirko Valdifiori 🟨
47′
56′
🔁 D. Biraschi
↦ A. Rosi
58′
🔁 G. Lapadula
↦ Miguel Veloso
Samuel Gustafson 🔁
↦ M. Valdifiori
63′
67′
🟨 Luca Rigoni
69′
🔁 G. Rossi
↦ A. Taarabt
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
76′
90′
🟨 Nicolás Spolli
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-3
39 S. Sirigu G
13 N. Burdisso D
29 L. De Silvestri M
3 C. Molinaro D
33 N. N'Koulou D
88 T. Rincón M
5 M. Valdifiori M
22 J. Obi M
14 Iago Falqué F
11 M. Niang F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (12)
16 Samuel Gustafson
31 L. Boyé
1 S. Ichazo
6 A. Acquah
19 M. De Luca
24 E. Moretti
32 V. Savić
50 L. Rivoira
60 A. Fiordaliso
62 V. Millico
87 A. Buongiorno
99 U. Sadiq

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Genoa

3-5-1-1
1 M. Perin G
20 A. Rosi M
2 N. Spolli D
87 E. Zukanović D
5 A. Izzo D
11 A. Taarabt F
44 Miguel Veloso M
30 L. Rigoni M
8 A. Bertolacci M
93 D. Laxalt M
19 G. Pandev F
Bench (12)
14 D. Biraschi
10 G. Lapadula
49 G. Rossi
4 I. Cofie
13 L. Rossettini
16 A. Galabinov
21 P. Brlek
22 D. Lazović
23 E. Lamanna
38 L. Zima
40 S. Omeonga
64 P. Pellegri

Coach: D. Ballardini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.