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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Milan

U U T T S

0–0

Full-time

Carpi

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Carpi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 32%

42%

21%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

39%

61%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

64%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

76% Possession 24%

19 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 6. · Carpi 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	34	26	4	4	+48	82
2	Napoli	34	22	7	5	+43	73
3	Roma	34	19	11	4	+35	68
4	Inter	34	18	7	9	+13	61
5	Fiorentina	34	17	8	9	+17	59
6	Milan	33	14	10	9	+8	52
7	Sassuolo	34	12	13	9	+3	49
8	Chievo	34	13	9	12	+2	48
9	Lazio	34	13	9	12	-1	48
10	Genoa	34	12	7	15	-2	43
11	Torino	34	11	9	14	-3	42
12	Empoli	34	11	9	14	-8	42
13	Atalanta	34	9	11	14	-7	38
14	Udinese	34	10	8	16	-18	38
15	Sampdoria	34	9	10	15	-4	37
16	Bologna	34	10	7	17	-13	37
17	Carpi	33	7	10	16	-18	31
18	Frosinone	34	8	6	20	-34	30
19	Palermo	34	7	8	19	-32	29
20	Verona	34	3	13	18	-29	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	17	14	3	0	+32	45
2	Juventus	17	14	2	1	+24	44
3	Roma	17	11	5	1	+23	38
4	Fiorentina	17	11	4	2	+19	37
5	Inter	17	11	2	4	+11	35
6	Genoa	17	10	3	4	+12	33
7	Milan	16	9	4	3	+8	31
8	Lazio	17	9	3	5	+9	30
9	Chievo	17	7	6	4	+7	27
10	Atalanta	17	7	5	5	+5	26
11	Sassuolo	17	6	8	3	+2	26
12	Sampdoria	17	7	4	6	+6	25
13	Torino	17	6	6	5	+3	24
14	Empoli	17	6	5	6	+1	23
15	Frosinone	17	6	4	7	-5	22
16	Udinese	17	6	4	7	-5	22
17	Carpi	17	5	5	7	-2	20
18	Bologna	17	4	5	8	-2	17
19	Palermo	17	4	4	9	-9	16
20	Verona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	17	8	6	3	+12	30
3	Napoli	17	8	4	5	+11	28
4	Inter	17	7	5	5	+2	26
5	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Fiorentina	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Milan	17	5	6	6	+0	21
8	Chievo	17	6	3	8	-5	21
9	Bologna	17	6	2	9	-11	20
10	Empoli	17	5	4	8	-9	19
11	Torino	17	5	3	9	-6	18
12	Lazio	17	4	6	7	-10	18
13	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-13	16
14	Palermo	17	3	4	10	-23	13
15	Sampdoria	17	2	6	9	-10	12
16	Atalanta	17	2	6	9	-12	12
17	Carpi	16	2	5	9	-16	11
18	Genoa	17	2	4	11	-14	10
19	Verona	17	1	7	9	-18	10
20	Frosinone	17	2	2	13	-29	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.