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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Southampton

T U T T S

2–2

Full-time

Brighton

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 13. · Brighton 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+9	15
3	Man City	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Watford	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Bournemouth	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Arsenal	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Man United	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Everton	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Leicester	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Crystal Palace	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Southampton	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Brighton	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Fulham	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	West Ham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Cardiff	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Huddersfield	5	0	2	3	-9	2
19	Newcastle	5	0	1	4	-4	1
20	Burnley	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Chelsea	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Watford	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Wolves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Fulham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Man United	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Newcastle	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Man United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	West Ham	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Everton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.